Al-Baghdadi's Message: I'm Not Dead Yet
The release of new audio
purportedly from the leader of ISIS is filled with soaring rhetoric,
promising "volcanoes of jihad" and dismissing the United States as
"terrified" and meek.
But what is he really saying?
Since late last week, it
hasn't been clear if Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the rarely seen leader of
ISIS, had been killed, mortally wounded or even hurt in an air strike
near Falluja, Iraq. Then Thursday, a recording emerged that appeared to
be genuine according to Flashpoint Intelligence, a global security firm
and NBC News counterterrorism consultancy. The message, shared on jihadi
websites, seems recent, as it included a reference to Egyptian militant
group Ansar Beit al-Maqdis, which pledged allegiance to Baghdadi on Monday.
Experts say that the real message al-Baghdadi is sending is: I'm still standing — and we're still growing.
"By releasing this
statement he is really putting a challenge to the U.S. and its allies.
He’s effectively saying, ‘I’m not trying to hide, I am releasing this
audio statement,’" said Laith Alkhouri, the director of Middle East and
North Africa research for Flashpoint Intelligence, which studies and
consults on global security.
"He is solidifying that
he is still leading the group, that he has not been killed as some media
outlets reported, and that the U.S. is not causing damage. It is
somewhat of a big blow to the coalition campaign, which really wanted to
get him and get him fast. Whereas the evidence is that the Islamic
State is not being vanquished."
The speech made
reference to a Nov. 7 U.S. announcement that President Barack Obama had
approved sending up to 1,500 more U.S. troops to Iraq.
“Here is Obama who has
ordered the deployment of 1,500 additional soldiers under the claim that
they are advisers because the crusaders’ airstrikes and constant
bombardment — day and night — upon the Islamic State have not prevented
its advance, nor weakened its resolve," says al-Baghdadi.
Veryan Khan, editorial
director of TRAC: Terrorism Research & Analysis Consortium, notes
that the shadowy terror leader last made an appearance in July — just
after other rumors of his death.
"Islamic State’s release
of this audio is focusing on momentum that they have recently gained in
areas outside of the Sham (Syria), said Khan, who said that ISIS now
has pledges of allegiance from terror groups in Egypt, Libya and even
Boko Haram in Nigeria — with active ISIS-related "brigades" in various
countries.
"As of today, there are
at least 30 separate regions that have active militant organizations
that have pledged support to Islamic State, a total of 60 distinct
groups world wide," said Khan. "The audio is inspirational, whether
Baghdadi was wounded or not."
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